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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar (^USDCAD)

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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Soars as T-Notes Yields Jump on Inflation Fears

The dollar index (DXY00) rose by +0.97% on Monday and posted a 5-week high.  The dollar rallied on Monday after oil prices surged to an 8.25-month high, boosting inflation expectations and reducing the chance of additional Fed rate cuts, a supportive factor for the dollar.  Also, Monday's better-than-expected Fed ISM manufacturing report was supportive of the dollar.  In addition, sharply higher T-note yields on Monday strengthened the dollar's interest rate differentials. 

The US Feb ISM manufacturing index fell -0.2 to 52.4, stronger than expectations of 51.5.  The Feb ISM prices paid sub-index rose +11.5 to a 3.5-year high of 70.5, stronger than expectations of 60.0.

Swaps markets are discounting the odds at 2% for a -25 bp rate cut at the next policy meeting on March 17-18.

The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates by another +25 bp in 2026, and... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 24, 2026

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Commercials - Long / Short
124,334 (+307)
94,074 (+421)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
65,234 (+1,459)
92,812 (+3,211)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
82,041 (+2,694)
34,705 (+3,031)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
41,574 (+2,530)
104,700 (-2,908)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
58,981 (-5,057)
24,880 (+2,876)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
0 (unch)
15,629 (-966)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.35044 +1.38%
on 02/11/26
1.37249 -0.25%
on 02/24/26
+0.00484 (+0.35%)
since 02/03/26
3-Month
1.34825 +1.54%
on 01/30/26
1.39774 -2.05%
on 12/04/25
-0.02594 (-1.86%)
since 12/03/25
52-Week
1.34825 +1.54%
on 01/30/26
1.45422 -5.85%
on 03/04/25
-0.07913 (-5.46%)
since 03/03/25

Most Recent Stories

More News
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BTC : 30.60 (+5.44%)
^NZDUSD : 0.58963 (-0.76%)
^AUDUSD : 0.70303 (-0.90%)
^USDCAD : 1.36908 (+0.11%)
^USDJPY : 157.736 (+0.24%)
^USDCHF : 0.78504 (+0.72%)
^EURUSD : 1.16081 (-0.69%)
ETH26 : 6,790.25 (-1.42%)
The Evolution of Forex Trading Through Intelligent Automation

Modern forex trading has shifted from a reliance on human instinct and rapid manual chart-reading to a data-driven "operating layer" of intelligent automation, which prioritizes engineered precision, standardized...

USD/CAD Weakness Persists as Market Eyes 1.34 Support

The key question is whether we are looking at a leading diagonal in wave one, which would allow for much lower levels later in wave C, or whether this is an ending diagonal in wave C itself, which would...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Relative Strength just crossed above 50%. The market is indicating support for a bullish trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.37980
2nd Resistance Point 1.37582
1st Resistance Point 1.37170
Last Price 1.36908
1st Support Level 1.36360
2nd Support Level 1.35962
3rd Support Level 1.35550

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52-Week High 1.45422
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.41374
Fibonacci 50% 1.40123
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.38873
Last Price 1.36908
52-Week Low 1.34825

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